Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Gray-cheeked Thrush In Northern Pacific Rainforest
Gray-cheeked Thrush in Northern Pacific Rainforest has collapsed: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1985.
-82%Since 1985
13Routes In Region
33Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Gray-cheeked Thrush has collapsed in Northern Pacific Rainforest: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1985.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Gray-cheeked Thrush in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 88% by 2029 — from 0.19 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.41). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-88%Change by 2029
0.02Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4195% range
±47.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.45 |
| 2026 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.44 |
| 2027 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.43 |
| 2028 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.42 |
| 2029 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.41 |
Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest
| Copper River | ALASKA | 32 | 2011 |
| Thompson Pas | ALASKA | 14 | 2024 |
| Cordova | ALASKA | 5 | 2022 |
| Seward | ALASKA | 3 | 1984 |
| Sheep Mtn | ALASKA | 3 | 2017 |
| Mitkof Isle | ALASKA | 2 | 2002 |
| Hyder | ALASKA | 2 | 2000 |
| Juneau | ALASKA | 1 | 2023 |
| Moose Pass | ALASKA | 1 | 1983 |
| Hope | ALASKA | 1 | 2016 |
| Harlequin L. | ALASKA | 1 | 2019 |
| Chichagof Is | ALASKA | 1 | 2015 |
| Stikine River | ALASKA | 1 | 2018 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.