Species · BCR 2 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Gray-cheeked Thrush In BCR 2
Gray-cheeked Thrush in BCR 2 has held roughly steady: down 5% on the route-weighted index since 1985.
-5%Since 1985
22Routes In Region
41Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Gray-cheeked Thrush in BCR 2. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Gray-cheeked Thrush in BCR 2 is projected to rise about 114% by 2029 — from 9.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 21 (95% range 6.6–35). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±105.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+114%Change by 2029
21Projected 2029 index
6.6–3595% range
±105.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20 | 6.4 | 35 |
| 2026 | 21 | 6.4 | 35 |
| 2027 | 21 | 6.5 | 35 |
| 2028 | 21 | 6.6 | 35 |
| 2029 | 21 | 6.6 | 35 |
Routes In BCR 2
| Gweek River | ALASKA | 104 | 2002 |
| Nome | ALASKA | 75 | 2023 |
| Tupuknuk | ALASKA | 71 | 1995 |
| Kugarak (Short) | ALASKA | 37 | 1987 |
| Salmon Lake | ALASKA | 28 | 2024 |
| Kodiak | ALASKA | 24 | 1984 |
| Dillingham (Short) | ALASKA | 20 | 1984 |
| Council | ALASKA | 19 | 2024 |
| King Salmon | ALASKA | 18 | 2024 |
| Selawik (Short) | ALASKA | 17 | 1987 |
| Dillingham | ALASKA | 15 | 2019 |
| St. Mary'S | ALASKA | 14 | 2014 |
| Cape Nome | ALASKA | 11 | 2024 |
| Goodnews Bay | ALASKA | 11 | 2005 |
| Togiak River | ALASKA | 10 | 2005 |
| Kanektok Riv | ALASKA | 8 | 2005 |
| Teller | ALASKA | 7 | 2024 |
| Katmai N.P. | ALASKA | 5 | 2022 |
| Kotzebue (Short) | ALASKA | 4 | 1994 |
| Kodiak 2 | ALASKA | 2 | 2024 |
| Kotzebue | ALASKA | 2 | 2024 |
| Chiniak | ALASKA | 1 | 2021 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.