BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Golden-winged Warbler In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsForest birds

Golden-winged Warbler in Appalachian Mountains has collapsed: down 98% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-98%Since 1968
177Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Golden-winged Warbler has collapsed in Appalachian Mountains: down 98% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Golden-winged Warbler in Appalachian Mountains is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±1200.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028
0.00Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.1595% range
±1200.2%Backtest error
19662028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.000.000.15
20250.000.000.15
20260.000.000.15
20270.000.000.15
20280.000.000.15

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Golden-winged Warbler in Appalachian Mountains.
Sugar GroveWEST-VIRGINIA61976
Warwick 2NEW-YORK51999
GhentWEST-VIRGINIA51978
Clear CreekWEST-VIRGINIA51998
FontanaNORTH-CAROLINA31984
RectorPENNSYLVANIA31977
Peru MillsPENNSYLVANIA32003
FayettevilleWEST-VIRGINIA31996
Cumberlnd GpKENTUCKY21978
Pine RidgeKENTUCKY21975
FinzelMARYLAND22013
HopeNEW-JERSEY21971
LaurensNEW-YORK21969
WakenaPENNSYLVANIA21982
Laurel HillPENNSYLVANIA21982
PedroWEST-VIRGINIA22017
HanoverWEST-VIRGINIA21997
RichwoodWEST-VIRGINIA21985
Green BankWEST-VIRGINIA21997
RockportWEST-VIRGINIA21969
MeadowvilleWEST-VIRGINIA22015
BaxterGEORGIA11988
Mountain CtyGEORGIA11981
PhelpsKENTUCKY11979
FloydMARYLAND11989

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.