Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Golden-winged Warbler In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

All regions Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain Forest birds

Golden-winged Warbler in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has edged down: down 23% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-23%Since 1969

38Routes In Region

53Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Golden-winged Warbler in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Golden-winged Warbler in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to fall about 52% by 2029 — from 0.23 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.11 (95% range 0.00–0.28). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±102.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-52%Change by 2029

0.11Projected 2029 index

0.00–0.2895% range

±102.2%Backtest error

Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.

Year	Projected index	95% high
2025	0.12	0.29
2026	0.11	0.29
2027	0.11	0.29
2028	0.11	0.29
2029	0.11	0.28

Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

Routes recording Golden-winged Warbler in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain.

Philadelphia	NEW-YORK	9	2024
Duanesburg	NEW-YORK	4	1973
Ogdensburg	NEW-YORK	2	2024
N Victory	NEW-YORK	2	1972
Rhinebeck	NEW-YORK	1	1971
Highland	NEW-YORK	1	1992
W Shokan	NEW-YORK	1	2002
Austerlitz	NEW-YORK	1	1968
Catskills	NEW-YORK	1	1990
Oriskany Fls	NEW-YORK	1	2016
Trumansburg	NEW-YORK	1	1982
Branchport	NEW-YORK	1	1995
Canadice L	NEW-YORK	1	2021
Mendon	NEW-YORK	1	2002
Mt Morris	NEW-YORK	1	2003
West Seneca	NEW-YORK	1	1982
Castile	NEW-YORK	1	1971
Randolph	NEW-YORK	1	1972
Cherry Hill	NEW-YORK	1	1971
Nashville	NEW-YORK	1	1967
St Johnsburg	NEW-YORK	1	1998
E Youngstown	NEW-YORK	1	1994
N Victory 2	NEW-YORK	1	1998
Cicero Ctr	NEW-YORK	1	1993
Watertown	NEW-YORK	1	1995

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.