BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Golden-crowned Kinglet In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

All regionsLower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence PlainForest birds

Golden-crowned Kinglet in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has surged: up 150% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

+150%Since 1973
17Routes In Region
43Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Golden-crowned Kinglet has surged in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain: up 150% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Golden-crowned Kinglet in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to fall about 31% by 2029 — from 0.08 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.06 (95% range 0.00–0.12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±119.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-31%Change by 2029
0.06Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1295% range
±119.3%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.060.000.12
20260.060.000.12
20270.060.000.12
20280.060.000.12
20290.060.000.12

Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

Routes recording Golden-crowned Kinglet in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain.
Canadice LNEW-YORK22004
SheridanNEW-YORK22024
ParishvilleNEW-YORK22024
BalmatNEW-YORK21995
HighlandNEW-YORK12011
W ShokanNEW-YORK12009
CatskillsNEW-YORK11989
Oriskany FlsNEW-YORK12016
BranchportNEW-YORK12016
RandolphNEW-YORK12009
PulaskiNEW-YORK11993
Alder CreekNEW-YORK12002
N WilmurtNEW-YORK11996
HopkintonNEW-YORK12018
WillsboroNEW-YORK12015
MiddlefieldOHIO11974
Grand IsleVERMONT11991

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.