Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Golden-crowned Kinglet In Boreal Hardwood Transition
Golden-crowned Kinglet in Boreal Hardwood Transition has surged: up 633% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+633%Since 1968
91Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Golden-crowned Kinglet has surged in Boreal Hardwood Transition: up 632% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Golden-crowned Kinglet in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 62% by 2029 — from 0.68 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.60–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±49.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+62%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.60–1.695% range
±49.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.0 | 0.54 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 1.1 | 0.55 | 1.6 |
| 2027 | 1.1 | 0.57 | 1.6 |
| 2028 | 1.1 | 0.58 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 1.1 | 0.60 | 1.6 |
Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition
| Sawbill Lndg | MINNESOTA | 14 | 2024 |
| Crane Lake | MINNESOTA | 7 | 2024 |
| Raco | MICHIGAN | 4 | 2023 |
| Cathro | MICHIGAN | 4 | 1992 |
| Betchler Lks | MICHIGAN | 4 | 2023 |
| Sherry Lake | MINNESOTA | 4 | 2022 |
| Waskish | MINNESOTA | 4 | 2024 |
| Sawbill Camp | MINNESOTA | 4 | 2024 |
| Montreal | WISCONSIN | 4 | 2016 |
| Flambeau | WISCONSIN | 4 | 2021 |
| Creighton | MICHIGAN | 3 | 2023 |
| Muskallonge | MICHIGAN | 3 | 2023 |
| Tahquamenon | MICHIGAN | 3 | 2024 |
| Ensign | MICHIGAN | 3 | 2010 |
| Red Lake | MINNESOTA | 3 | 2023 |
| Grand View | WISCONSIN | 3 | 2017 |
| Mcnaughton | WISCONSIN | 3 | 2018 |
| Marenisco | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2018 |
| Maple Grove | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2024 |
| Ishpeming | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2023 |
| Brocky Lake | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2024 |
| Wilson | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2010 |
| Cunard | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2014 |
| Shingleton | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2023 |
| Isabella | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2004 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.