Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Field Sparrow In Oaks and Prairies
Field Sparrow in Oaks and Prairies has collapsed: down 85% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-85%Since 1969
47Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Field Sparrow has collapsed in Oaks and Prairies: down 85% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Field Sparrow in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 25% by 2029 — from 2.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.5 (95% range 0.00–6.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+25%Change by 2029
2.5Projected 2029 index
0.00–6.895% range
±44.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.9 | 0.00 | 7.2 |
| 2026 | 2.8 | 0.00 | 7.1 |
| 2027 | 2.7 | 0.00 | 7.0 |
| 2028 | 2.6 | 0.00 | 6.9 |
| 2029 | 2.5 | 0.00 | 6.8 |
Routes In Oaks and Prairies
| Tatums | OKLAHOMA | 28 | 2024 |
| Holdenville | OKLAHOMA | 26 | 2024 |
| Barnsdall | OKLAHOMA | 26 | 1977 |
| Ardmore | OKLAHOMA | 23 | 2009 |
| Skiatook | OKLAHOMA | 18 | 2019 |
| Bartlesville | OKLAHOMA | 14 | 2024 |
| Bonner | TEXAS | 14 | 1994 |
| Mill Creek | OKLAHOMA | 10 | 2018 |
| Noble | OKLAHOMA | 8 | 2024 |
| Duncan | OKLAHOMA | 7 | 2024 |
| Loco | OKLAHOMA | 6 | 1985 |
| Heyburn | OKLAHOMA | 6 | 2024 |
| Campbellton | TEXAS | 6 | 1972 |
| Osage | TEXAS | 4 | 2009 |
| Choctaw | OKLAHOMA | 3 | 2022 |
| Lockhart | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Oak Grove | TEXAS | 3 | 1986 |
| Olney | TEXAS | 3 | 2023 |
| Brite | TEXAS | 3 | 2021 |
| Gambill Ref. | TEXAS | 3 | 1995 |
| Decatur | TEXAS | 3 | 1999 |
| Selden | TEXAS | 2 | 2011 |
| Graford | TEXAS | 2 | 2013 |
| Lydia | TEXAS | 2 | 2012 |
| Miller Grove | TEXAS | 2 | 2007 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.