Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Evening Grosbeak In Great Basin
Evening Grosbeak in Great Basin has collapsed: down 79% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-79%Since 1970
76Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Evening Grosbeak has collapsed in Great Basin: down 79% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Evening Grosbeak in Great Basin is projected to rise about 28% by 2029 — from 0.52 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.67 (95% range 0.00–3.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±229%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+28%Change by 2029
0.67Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.995% range
±229%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.83 | 0.00 | 4.1 |
| 2026 | 0.79 | 0.00 | 4.1 |
| 2027 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 4.0 |
| 2028 | 0.71 | 0.00 | 4.0 |
| 2029 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 3.9 |
Routes In Great Basin
| Winthrop | WASHINGTON | 28 | 2009 |
| E. Mt. Adams | WASHINGTON | 20 | 2024 |
| Barnes Val | OREGON | 17 | 1987 |
| L. Wenatchee | WASHINGTON | 15 | 2024 |
| Dorris | CALIFORNIA | 14 | 2011 |
| Harney Lake | OREGON | 14 | 1996 |
| Newhalem | WASHINGTON | 14 | 2024 |
| Clear Lk Res | CALIFORNIA | 13 | 1991 |
| Paunina | OREGON | 12 | 2012 |
| Dell Spring | OREGON | 11 | 1988 |
| Ronald | WASHINGTON | 7 | 2024 |
| Macdoel | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 1994 |
| Pendleton | OREGON | 6 | 1994 |
| Hardware Ranch | UTAH | 6 | 1994 |
| Carlton | WASHINGTON | 6 | 2013 |
| Nighthawk | WASHINGTON | 6 | 2013 |
| Zumwalt | OREGON | 5 | 1999 |
| Bly | OREGON | 4 | 1992 |
| Kendall | WASHINGTON | 4 | 2024 |
| Tionesta | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2021 |
| Fall River Mills | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2007 |
| Medicine Mtn. | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2021 |
| Iron Gate | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1988 |
| Leadore | IDAHO | 3 | 2009 |
| Mt Hood | OREGON | 3 | 2022 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.