BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Edwards Plateau has surged: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 2005.

13×Since 2005TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
18Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
21YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Edwards Plateau: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 2005.

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Edwards Plateau Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 141% by 2029 — from 2.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.6 (95% range 2.1–9.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±198.3%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+141%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.6Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.1–9.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±198.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 141% by 2029 — from 2.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.6 (95% range 2.1–9.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±198.3%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.20032029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20254.91.48.4
20265.11.68.6
20275.21.88.7
20285.41.98.9
20295.62.19.0

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
ManorTEXAS92024
Valley SpgsTEXAS72024
LeanderTEXAS62006
UtopiaTEXAS52024
Indian MtnTEXAS52023
HarperTEXAS32024
KempnerTEXAS32022
Pidcoke 2TEXAS32024
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS32018
RockspringTEXAS32024
San SabaTEXAS22024
PidcokeTEXAS22016
LeakeyTEXAS22024
BoerneTEXAS12024
AdamsvilleTEXAS12024
Dripping SpgTEXAS12023
MontellTEXAS12024
Allen CreekTEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.