BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Prairie Potholes

All regionsPrairie PotholesGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Prairie Potholes has surged: up 99× on the route-weighted index since 2005.

99×Since 2005
82Routes In Region
21Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Prairie Potholes: up 99× on the route-weighted index since 2005.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Prairie Potholes is projected to rise about 38% by 2029 — from 1.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 2.0–3.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.3%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+38%Change by 2029
2.7Projected 2029 index
2.0–3.495% range
±25.3%Backtest error
20002029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.21.52.9
20262.31.63.0
20272.41.73.1
20282.61.93.2
20292.72.03.4

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Prairie Potholes.
SpartaNEBRASKA132021
GeddesSOUTH-DAKOTA122023
PantherIOWA112024
TildenNEBRASKA112024
Winside 2NEBRASKA102022
LennoxSOUTH-DAKOTA102024
HarlemMONTANA92021
WalcottNORTH-DAKOTA82023
ChandlerMINNESOTA62023
WorthingtonMINNESOTA62024
TracyMINNESOTA62024
GlasgowMONTANA62024
TrippSOUTH-DAKOTA62024
VolgaSOUTH-DAKOTA62024
ScrantonIOWA52024
MccallsburgIOWA52024
BurchinalIOWA52024
Chokio NorthMINNESOTA52024
PoncaNEBRASKA52024
CarpioNORTH-DAKOTA52023
MontpelierNORTH-DAKOTA52024
HowardSOUTH-DAKOTA52024
BrittonSOUTH-DAKOTA52023
WashingtonIOWA42023
Redwood FallMINNESOTA42024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.