BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Prairie Potholes

All regionsPrairie PotholesGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Prairie Potholes has surged: up 113× on the route-weighted index since 2005.

113×Since 2005TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
84Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
22YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eurasian Collared-Dove in Prairie Potholes. See the full index history below.

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Prairie Potholes Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Prairie Potholes is projected to fall about 16% by 2030 — from 3.7 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.1 (95% range 2.2–4.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.8%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-16%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.1Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.2–4.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±33.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Prairie Potholes is projected to fall about 16% by 2030 — from 3.7 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.1 (95% range 2.2–4.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.8%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.20002030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.61.73.5
20272.71.83.6
20282.81.93.7
20293.02.13.9
20303.12.24.0

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Prairie Potholes.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
TildenNEBRASKA222025
MadisonNEBRASKA212025
WorthingtonMINNESOTA172025
SpartaNEBRASKA172025
PantherIOWA142025
LennoxSOUTH-DAKOTA132025
HowardSOUTH-DAKOTA132025
ChandlerMINNESOTA122025
Winside 2NEBRASKA102022
GeddesSOUTH-DAKOTA102025
CourtlandMINNESOTA92025
HarlemMONTANA92021
EdgeleyNORTH-DAKOTA92025
VolgaSOUTH-DAKOTA92025
HuntleyMINNESOTA82025
WalcottNORTH-DAKOTA82023
TracyMINNESOTA72025
GlasgowMONTANA72025
ScrantonIOWA62025
Redwood FallMINNESOTA62025
FairmontMINNESOTA62025
MontpelierNORTH-DAKOTA62025
WashingtonIOWA52025
FranklinMINNESOTA52025
Sun RiverMONTANA52025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.