BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 3 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Yellow Wagtail In BCR 3

All regionsBCR 3Generalists

Eastern Yellow Wagtail in BCR 3 has fallen sharply: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1995.

-59%Since 1995
3Routes In Region
31Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Eastern Yellow Wagtail has fallen sharply in BCR 3: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1995.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Yellow Wagtail in BCR 3 is projected to fall about 44% by 2029 — from 4.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.5 (95% range 0.00–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±53.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-44%Change by 2029
2.5Projected 2029 index
0.00–1195% range
±53.7%Backtest error
19932029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.60.0012
20263.30.0012
20273.10.0011
20282.80.0011
20292.50.0011

Routes In BCR 3

Routes recording Eastern Yellow Wagtail in BCR 3.
Happy ValleyALASKA182024
Galbraith L.ALASKA22014
Red DogALASKA11998

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.