BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 2 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Yellow Wagtail In BCR 2

All regionsBCR 2Generalists

Eastern Yellow Wagtail in BCR 2 has collapsed: down 86% on the route-weighted index since 1994.

-86%Since 1994
12Routes In Region
32Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Eastern Yellow Wagtail has collapsed in BCR 2: down 86% on the route-weighted index since 1994.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Yellow Wagtail in BCR 2 is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–4.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±151.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–4.595% range
±151.5%Backtest error
19862029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.530.005.0
20260.360.004.8
20270.190.004.7
20280.010.004.5
20290.000.004.5

Routes In BCR 2

Routes recording Eastern Yellow Wagtail in BCR 2.
Goodnews BayALASKA272005
Kanektok RivALASKA242005
Togiak RiverALASKA122005
KotzebueALASKA112024
Kotzebue (Short)ALASKA91994
Salmon LakeALASKA62012
Cape NomeALASKA52012
TellerALASKA22018
Selawik (Short)ALASKA21986
CouncilALASKA12023
NomeALASKA12010
St. Mary'SALASKA12002

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.