BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Wood-Pewee In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsAerial insectivores

Eastern Wood-Pewee in Appalachian Mountains has edged up: up 24% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+24%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
405Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Wood-Pewee in Appalachian Mountains. See the full index history below.

Eastern Wood-Pewee In Appalachian Mountains Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in Appalachian Mountains is projected to fall about 31% by 2029 — from 7.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.2 (95% range 3.6–6.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.4%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-31%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.2Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.6–6.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±28.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in Appalachian Mountains is projected to fall about 31% by 2029 — from 7.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.2 (95% range 3.6–6.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.4%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20255.23.66.8
20265.23.66.8
20275.23.66.8
20285.23.66.8
20295.23.66.8

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Eastern Wood-Pewee in Appalachian Mountains.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Front RoyalVIRGINIA512024
New MarketVIRGINIA492024
Tussey Mtn.PENNSYLVANIA422024
Piney GroveMARYLAND292024
Green RidgeMARYLAND282024
Bald KnobVIRGINIA272024
Scioto TrailOHIO262013
Big MeadowsVIRGINIA262024
SmithsburgMARYLAND252014
StonecreekOHIO242024
South MtnPENNSYLVANIA242023
LandisburgPENNSYLVANIA222024
Mohican S.F.OHIO212024
Laurel HillPENNSYLVANIA212024
Broad Mtn.PENNSYLVANIA212024
Kemah LakeNEW-JERSEY202024
Zaleski S.F.OHIO202024
StoneybreakPENNSYLVANIA202024
WilliamsportMARYLAND192024
ShanghaiWEST-VIRGINIA192022
WolfsvilleMARYLAND182024
Wayne N.F.OHIO182024
CanadensisPENNSYLVANIA182024
Clear SpringPENNSYLVANIA182024
Shenandoa NpVIRGINIA182024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.