BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Wood-Pewee In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsAerial insectivores

Eastern Wood-Pewee in Appalachian Mountains has increased: up 29% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+29%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
406Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Wood-Pewee in Appalachian Mountains. See the full index history below.

Eastern Wood-Pewee In Appalachian Mountains Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in Appalachian Mountains is projected to fall about 31% by 2030 — from 7.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 5.4 (95% range 3.7–7.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.5%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-31%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.4Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.7–7.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±33.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in Appalachian Mountains is projected to fall about 31% by 2030 — from 7.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 5.4 (95% range 3.7–7.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.5%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20265.43.77.1
20275.43.77.1
20285.43.77.1
20295.43.77.1
20305.43.77.1

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Eastern Wood-Pewee in Appalachian Mountains.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
New MarketVIRGINIA462025
Front RoyalVIRGINIA462025
Tussey Mtn.PENNSYLVANIA302025
Piney GroveMARYLAND292025
Zaleski S.F.OHIO292025
Mill RunPENNSYLVANIA292025
Green RidgeMARYLAND282025
Big MeadowsVIRGINIA282025
ShanghaiWEST-VIRGINIA282025
South MtnPENNSYLVANIA272025
Scioto TrailOHIO262013
OldtownMARYLAND252025
SmithsburgMARYLAND252014
SmootWEST-VIRGINIA252025
WilliamsportMARYLAND232025
Mohican S.F.OHIO232025
WolfsvilleMARYLAND222025
StonecreekOHIO222025
Clear SpringPENNSYLVANIA212025
Laurel HillPENNSYLVANIA212025
LandisburgPENNSYLVANIA212025
Kemah LakeNEW-JERSEY202024
StoneybreakPENNSYLVANIA202025
RinggoldWEST-VIRGINIA202025
StanleyVIRGINIA192025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.