BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Wood-Pewee In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyAerial insectivores

Eastern Wood-Pewee in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has edged up: up 19% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+19%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
63Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Wood-Pewee in Mississippi Alluvial Valley. See the full index history below.

Eastern Wood-Pewee In Mississippi Alluvial Valley Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 4.6 (95% range 2.9–6.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-5%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.6Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.9–6.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±10.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Wood-Pewee in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 4.6 (95% range 2.9–6.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20264.42.76.1
20274.52.86.2
20284.52.86.2
20294.62.96.2
20304.62.96.3

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Eastern Wood-Pewee in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
DundeeMISSISSIPPI242022
Crowley'S RidgeARKANSAS232025
Cp GirardeauMISSOURI182025
Delta N.F.MISSISSIPPI172021
TiptonvilleTENNESSEE162025
SaffellARKANSAS142019
Bardwell 2KENTUCKY142025
South BendARKANSAS132025
HarrisburgARKANSAS132019
Tensas NwrLOUISIANA132025
Warren VickMISSISSIPPI132022
EnglandARKANSAS112025
Dahomey NwrMISSISSIPPI112025
WintervilleMISSISSIPPI102011
MaynardARKANSAS82025
TallahatchieMISSISSIPPI82025
BardwellKENTUCKY72003
PawpawTENNESSEE72012
HughesARKANSAS62025
TransylvaniaLOUISIANA62025
TippoMISSISSIPPI62025
AugustaARKANSAS52001
River RoadLOUISIANA52010
KelsoARKANSAS42016
WilsonARKANSAS42025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.