BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Whip-poor-will In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasAerial insectivores

Eastern Whip-poor-will in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has held roughly steady: up 4% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

+4%Since 1972TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
20Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
45YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Whip-poor-will in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas. See the full index history below.

Eastern Whip-poor-will In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Whip-poor-will in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 53% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.09 (95% range 0.00–0.22). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±90.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+53%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.09Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.2295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±90.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Whip-poor-will in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 53% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.09 (95% range 0.00–0.22). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±90.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.090.000.22
20260.090.000.22
20270.090.000.22
20280.090.000.22
20290.090.000.22

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Eastern Whip-poor-will in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
BlakelyARKANSAS41999
HavanaARKANSAS22016
PrincetonARKANSAS22021
Dry Fork 2ARKANSAS22024
RamseyARKANSAS11995
StampsARKANSAS12015
AshdownARKANSAS12008
CrowsARKANSAS11989
WaldronARKANSAS12000
StarkARKANSAS11998
NanceARKANSAS12024
Dry ForkARKANSAS12023
Magazine MtnARKANSAS12019
Big CedarOKLAHOMA12019
CanadianOKLAHOMA12003
BethelOKLAHOMA12010
MatoyOKLAHOMA11994
Ouachita NfOKLAHOMA12012
Hee MountainOKLAHOMA12012
Liberty HillTEXAS12004

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.