BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Towhee In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastGeneralists

Eastern Towhee in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has collapsed: down 78% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-78%Since 1968
164Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Eastern Towhee has collapsed in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: down 78% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 5.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–5.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±95.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–5.695% range
±95.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.570.006.1
20260.240.005.8
20270.000.005.6
20280.000.005.6
20290.000.005.6

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Eastern Towhee in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
Spraguetown 3NEW-JERSEY802024
Gay HeadMASSACHUSETTS382024
FriendshipNEW-JERSEY362024
ChilmarkMASSACHUSETTS281983
Jones BeachNEW-YORK272013
SpraguetownNEW-JERSEY261999
Mt MiseryNEW-JERSEY261989
La PlataMARYLAND232009
PrattvilleMASSACHUSETTS222019
PrincetonMASSACHUSETTS211976
Cape Cod NsMASSACHUSETTS212007
AlbionNEW-JERSEY212022
AncoraNEW-JERSEY201977
Block IslandRHODE-ISLAND202010
CheltenhamMARYLAND192004
PulaskiRHODE-ISLAND191992
WarrenCONNECTICUT172011
Bennett MillNEW-JERSEY172000
Forest GroveMARYLAND162023
BelchertownMASSACHUSETTS162024
PomonaNEW-JERSEY162024
TruhartVIRGINIA162024
Toms RiverNEW-JERSEY152024
LargoMARYLAND141981
ShannockRHODE-ISLAND142024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.