Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eastern Towhee In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
Eastern Towhee in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has edged down: down 18% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-18%Since 1968
67Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Eastern Towhee in Mississippi Alluvial Valley. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 81% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.2 (95% range 1.3–5.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±101.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+81%Change by 2029
3.2Projected 2029 index
1.3–5.195% range
±101.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 5.1 |
| 2026 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 5.1 |
| 2027 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 5.1 |
| 2028 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 5.1 |
| 2029 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 5.1 |
Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
| Panther Swamp Nwr | MISSISSIPPI | 29 | 2018 |
| Warren Vick | MISSISSIPPI | 13 | 2022 |
| Frogmore | LOUISIANA | 11 | 2024 |
| Carlisle | LOUISIANA | 9 | 1988 |
| Isola | MISSISSIPPI | 8 | 2022 |
| Eudora | ARKANSAS | 7 | 2024 |
| Transylvania | LOUISIANA | 7 | 2022 |
| Concord | LOUISIANA | 7 | 2019 |
| Shaw | LOUISIANA | 6 | 2024 |
| Tchula 3 | MISSISSIPPI | 6 | 2024 |
| Freetown | LOUISIANA | 5 | 2019 |
| Gonzales | LOUISIANA | 5 | 2015 |
| Morgan City | LOUISIANA | 5 | 2014 |
| Tallahatchie | MISSISSIPPI | 5 | 2024 |
| Bardwell | KENTUCKY | 4 | 2003 |
| Commerce | MISSISSIPPI | 4 | 1993 |
| Shelby | MISSISSIPPI | 4 | 2024 |
| Tippo | MISSISSIPPI | 4 | 2024 |
| Mayflower | LOUISIANA | 3 | 2024 |
| Tchula | MISSISSIPPI | 3 | 1975 |
| Eagle Lake | MISSISSIPPI | 3 | 2023 |
| Moon | MISSISSIPPI | 3 | 2021 |
| Hayti | MISSOURI | 3 | 2019 |
| Pawpaw | TENNESSEE | 3 | 2012 |
| Whitton | ARKANSAS | 2 | 1989 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.