BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Towhee In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasGeneralists

Eastern Towhee in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has surged: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

13×Since 1969
73Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Eastern Towhee has surged in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 100% by 2029 — from 1.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.4 (95% range 2.3–4.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±74.2%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+100%Change by 2029
3.4Projected 2029 index
2.3–4.595% range
±74.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.22.14.3
20263.32.24.4
20273.32.24.4
20283.42.34.5
20293.42.34.5

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Eastern Towhee in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Pine PrairieLOUISIANA211997
Flat CreekLOUISIANA202024
MarionLOUISIANA191996
Four LakesARKANSAS182001
PrincetonARKANSAS162014
OakdaleLOUISIANA141994
Lake CoveLOUISIANA132018
Ivan 2LOUISIANA122016
TroutLOUISIANA112024
HargisLOUISIANA112011
Hargis 2LOUISIANA112014
EastonLOUISIANA91990
Magazine MtnARKANSAS82021
EnterpriseLOUISIANA82024
HavanaARKANSAS72021
FishvilleLOUISIANA72017
LinvilleLOUISIANA72023
GoodwillLOUISIANA72024
Old MiloARKANSAS62024
StampsARKANSAS52019
LockesburgARKANSAS52019
ManyLOUISIANA51992
Fort JessupLOUISIANA52023
GraysonLOUISIANA52021
EvelynLOUISIANA52024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.