BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Towhee In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestGeneralists

Eastern Towhee in Atlantic Northern Forest has collapsed: down 94% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-94%Since 1968
105Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Eastern Towhee has collapsed in Atlantic Northern Forest: down 94% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.58 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–3.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±781.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.295% range
±781.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.003.2
20260.000.003.2
20270.000.003.2
20280.000.003.2
20290.000.003.2

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Eastern Towhee in Atlantic Northern Forest.
KasoagNEW-YORK102024
PittsfieldMASSACHUSETTS92016
New HartfordCONNECTICUT61987
BiddefordMAINE52019
South ArmMAINE51999
Bowdoin CtrMAINE51999
BrownfieldMAINE52009
SheffieldMASSACHUSETTS52022
SabattisNEW-YORK41971
WestbrookMAINE32024
HopkintonNEW-HAMPSHIRE32024
GlenNEW-HAMPSHIRE32024
GaysvilleVERMONT32021
New HartfordCONNECTICUT22024
NewcastleMAINE22004
TurnerMAINE22002
BrooksMAINE21988
HermonMAINE22017
Turner 2MAINE22012
Brownfield 2MAINE22023
CummingtonMASSACHUSETTS22014
MontereyMASSACHUSETTS22024
Cummington 2MASSACHUSETTS22022
ConcordNEW-HAMPSHIRE22024
LempsterNEW-HAMPSHIRE22019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.