BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Towhee In Boreal Hardwood Transition

All regionsBoreal Hardwood TransitionGeneralists

Eastern Towhee in Boreal Hardwood Transition has fallen sharply: down 51% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-51%Since 1968
99Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Eastern Towhee has fallen sharply in Boreal Hardwood Transition: down 51% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to fall about 66% by 2029 — from 2.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.73 (95% range 0.00–1.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±67.3%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-66%Change by 2029
0.73Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.895% range
±67.3%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.820.001.9
20260.800.001.9
20270.780.001.9
20280.750.001.9
20290.730.001.8

Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Eastern Towhee in Boreal Hardwood Transition.
Union TwpWISCONSIN612024
MinongWISCONSIN292024
HarriettaMICHIGAN222024
Grand ViewWISCONSIN82024
BackusMINNESOTA72024
Lake CityMICHIGAN52022
Hubbard LakeMICHIGAN51989
HollisterWISCONSIN52024
SkeelsMICHIGAN42015
HermanMICHIGAN31997
Maple GroveMICHIGAN31996
IshpemingMICHIGAN32023
IsabellaMICHIGAN31998
Bear LakeMICHIGAN32024
Sand LakeMICHIGAN32024
Betchler LksMICHIGAN32023
AmbergWISCONSIN32024
Ned LakeMICHIGAN22022
GilchristMICHIGAN21989
Traverse CtyMICHIGAN21976
Brush CreekMICHIGAN22016
FredericMICHIGAN22003
Red OakMICHIGAN22022
Pleasant Valley 2MICHIGAN22024
Walloon Lake 2MICHIGAN22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.