Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eastern Screech-Owl In Appalachian Mountains
Eastern Screech-Owl in Appalachian Mountains has fallen sharply: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-69%Since 1968
185Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Eastern Screech-Owl has fallen sharply in Appalachian Mountains: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Screech-Owl in Appalachian Mountains is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.04). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±95.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.02Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.0495% range
±95.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| 2026 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| 2027 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| 2028 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| 2029 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
Routes In Appalachian Mountains
| Elk Valley | TENNESSEE | 5 | 1998 |
| Lisle | NEW-YORK | 3 | 1974 |
| Cattaraugus | NEW-YORK | 3 | 1972 |
| Nicut | WEST-VIRGINIA | 3 | 2014 |
| Ruthbelle | WEST-VIRGINIA | 3 | 2021 |
| Trade | ALABAMA | 2 | 1984 |
| Kehoe | KENTUCKY | 2 | 1983 |
| Phelps | KENTUCKY | 2 | 1997 |
| Accident | MARYLAND | 2 | 2005 |
| Cullowhee | NORTH-CAROLINA | 2 | 1974 |
| Oteen | NORTH-CAROLINA | 2 | 1984 |
| Mohican S.F. | OHIO | 2 | 2000 |
| Bow Bridge | PENNSYLVANIA | 2 | 2022 |
| Plesant Grov | PENNSYLVANIA | 2 | 1999 |
| Geeseytown | PENNSYLVANIA | 2 | 1994 |
| Clear Spring | PENNSYLVANIA | 2 | 1982 |
| Corryton Rd | TENNESSEE | 2 | 1977 |
| Rural Retrt | VIRGINIA | 2 | 2013 |
| Clear Creek | WEST-VIRGINIA | 2 | 1995 |
| Pt Pleasant | WEST-VIRGINIA | 2 | 1976 |
| Strange Crk | WEST-VIRGINIA | 2 | 2006 |
| Mcdonald | WEST-VIRGINIA | 2 | 2005 |
| Smithfield | WEST-VIRGINIA | 2 | 2017 |
| Meadland | WEST-VIRGINIA | 2 | 2001 |
| Summitt | ALABAMA | 1 | 1976 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.