BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Screech-Owl In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainGeneralists

Eastern Screech-Owl in Southeastern Coastal Plain has fallen sharply: down 58% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-58%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
133Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Screech-Owl in Southeastern Coastal Plain. See the full index history below.

Eastern Screech-Owl In Southeastern Coastal Plain Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Screech-Owl in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.06). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±83.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.01Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±83.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Screech-Owl in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.06). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±83.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.010.000.06
20260.010.000.06
20270.010.000.06
20280.010.000.06
20290.010.000.06

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Eastern Screech-Owl in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
RentzGEORGIA42000
WorkmoreGEORGIA41978
Everett CityGEORGIA21976
HendersonGEORGIA21976
LacrossGEORGIA21977
KellerGEORGIA21976
TarverGEORGIA22009
ShilohGEORGIA22012
ShilohKENTUCKY21990
SlidellLOUISIANA21987
Olive BranchMISSISSIPPI21975
KinstonNORTH-CAROLINA22004
MontagueNORTH-CAROLINA22014
Johns IsleSOUTH-CAROLINA21977
WagenerSOUTH-CAROLINA21993
SandhillsSOUTH-CAROLINA21998
Dismal SwampVIRGINIA22003
HowardALABAMA11977
LibertyALABAMA12018
HarrellALABAMA12018
GreensboroALABAMA11974
SpragueALABAMA11999
BillingsleyALABAMA11978
Warrior StdALABAMA12016
CottontonALABAMA12021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.