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Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Screech-Owl In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasGeneralists

Eastern Screech-Owl in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has edged up: up 12% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+12%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
28Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
36YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Screech-Owl in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas. See the full index history below.

Eastern Screech-Owl In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Screech-Owl in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.07). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.03Projected 2028 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±47.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Screech-Owl in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.07). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20240.030.000.07
20250.030.000.07
20260.030.000.07
20270.030.000.07
20280.030.000.07

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Eastern Screech-Owl in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
TroutLOUISIANA31988
WaldronARKANSAS22017
FishvilleLOUISIANA21992
CheniereLOUISIANA21984
IvanLOUISIANA22012
WechesTEXAS22016
RamseyARKANSAS11986
Locust BayouARKANSAS12010
PoyenARKANSAS12005
HollywoodARKANSAS11990
BlakelyARKANSAS11999
SpringhillARKANSAS12013
Dry ForkARKANSAS12021
DerryLOUISIANA11971
Mer RougeLOUISIANA12001
ClayLOUISIANA12011
Derry 2LOUISIANA12002
GoodwillLOUISIANA12005
Big CedarOKLAHOMA11994
PhillipsOKLAHOMA11991
BethelOKLAHOMA12017
Town BluffTEXAS12015
LivingstonTEXAS12015
New WaverlyTEXAS11973
DibollTEXAS12014

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.