BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Phoebe In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastAerial insectivores

Eastern Phoebe in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has risen sharply: up 53% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+53%Since 1968
156Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Eastern Phoebe has risen sharply in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: up 52% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 3.8 (95% range 2.7–4.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-2%Change by 2029
3.8Projected 2029 index
2.7–4.895% range
±10.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.72.74.7
20263.72.74.7
20273.72.74.7
20283.72.74.7
20293.82.74.8

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
S BarreMASSACHUSETTS212024
EpsomNEW-HAMPSHIRE192023
WarrenCONNECTICUT172011
E HartlandCONNECTICUT151992
Quonset PtRHODE-ISLAND152024
UncasvilleCONNECTICUT132024
BelchertownMASSACHUSETTS132024
WarrenMASSACHUSETTS132009
Warren 2MASSACHUSETTS122024
WillimanticCONNECTICUT112018
GranbyCONNECTICUT112024
MarionMASSACHUSETTS112024
HoldenMASSACHUSETTS112024
BrentwoodNEW-HAMPSHIRE111998
StraffordNEW-HAMPSHIRE112024
East KingstonNEW-HAMPSHIRE112024
ShermanCONNECTICUT102019
ShannockRHODE-ISLAND102024
Casimir Pulaski SfRHODE-ISLAND102018
No WoodburyCONNECTICUT92024
Warren 2CONNECTICUT92024
BrocktonMASSACHUSETTS92019
DoverNEW-HAMPSHIRE92024
BuckinghamCONNECTICUT82022
WoodstockCONNECTICUT82007

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.