BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Phoebe In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainAerial insectivores

Eastern Phoebe in Southeastern Coastal Plain has surged: up 696% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+696%Since 1968
196Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Eastern Phoebe has surged in Southeastern Coastal Plain: up 696% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 1.6–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-17%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
1.6–2.395% range
±15%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.81.52.1
20261.91.62.2
20271.91.62.2
20281.91.62.2
20292.01.62.3

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
GreensboroALABAMA222024
Big SandyTENNESSEE172024
MansfieldTENNESSEE162024
CottontonALABAMA152024
RiderwoodALABAMA142023
BloctonALABAMA142024
HumboldtTENNESSEE132024
SpragueALABAMA122024
CalebeeALABAMA122024
HowardALABAMA112024
LibertyALABAMA112022
BillingsleyALABAMA112022
Warrior StdALABAMA102024
LakeviewGEORGIA102024
SilertonTENNESSEE102024
St FlorianALABAMA92024
BrantleyALABAMA92024
HoltALABAMA92024
SealeALABAMA92017
HendersonGEORGIA92024
ElamvilleALABAMA82024
Defuniak SprFLORIDA82006
Trace ChoctawMISSISSIPPI82019
BrundidgeALABAMA72021
DeepstepGEORGIA72023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.