BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Phoebe In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyAerial insectivores

Eastern Phoebe in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has increased: up 26% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+26%Since 1968
36Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Eastern Phoebe in Mississippi Alluvial Valley. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 97% by 2029 — from 0.55 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.55–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±81.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+97%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.55–1.695% range
±81.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.00.501.5
20261.00.511.6
20271.00.521.6
20281.10.541.6
20291.10.551.6

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
Delta N.F.MISSISSIPPI112016
SaffellARKANSAS92019
MaynardARKANSAS42024
Cp GirardeauMISSOURI42024
Augusta 2ARKANSAS32016
AugustaARKANSAS22000
WilsonARKANSAS22023
Bardwell 2KENTUCKY22024
TallahatchieMISSISSIPPI22024
Panther Swamp NwrMISSISSIPPI22016
DeventerMISSOURI22023
TiptonvilleTENNESSEE22023
PawpawTENNESSEE22012
EudoraARKANSAS12014
HughesARKANSAS12011
West TylerARKANSAS11970
South BendARKANSAS11993
HarrisburgARKANSAS12019
WhittonARKANSAS11968
LafeARKANSAS12017
EnglandARKANSAS12024
GillettARKANSAS12024
UlmARKANSAS12014
Crowley'S RidgeARKANSAS12024
BardwellKENTUCKY12003

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.