BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Phoebe In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsAerial insectivores

Eastern Phoebe in Central Hardwoods has risen sharply: up 69% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+69%Since 1968
166Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Eastern Phoebe has risen sharply in Central Hardwoods: up 69% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 20% by 2029 — from 5.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.0 (95% range 4.5–7.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±42.5%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+20%Change by 2029
6.0Projected 2029 index
4.5–7.495% range
±42.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.84.37.2
20265.84.47.2
20275.94.47.3
20285.94.57.3
20296.04.57.4

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in Central Hardwoods.
CascadeMISSOURI242024
SyracuseMISSOURI232024
SwaimALABAMA212024
FarwellARKANSAS162018
Osage BeachMISSOURI162024
MincyMISSOURI162024
West PlainsMISSOURI162024
ZionARKANSAS142024
Carter GroveALABAMA112023
Beaverdam LkILLINOIS112023
WhitewaterMISSOURI112024
Doe RunMISSOURI112024
CampbellsvilleTENNESSEE112019
JoyKENTUCKY102023
ClementineMISSOURI102002
ViburnumMISSOURI102024
RoyaltonILLINOIS92024
HustonvilleKENTUCKY92024
Bays ForkKENTUCKY92019
DixonKENTUCKY92024
Peace ValleyMISSOURI92024
CentertownMISSOURI92024
BarksMISSOURI92024
Union HillTENNESSEE92024
BelknapILLINOIS82024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.