BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Phoebe In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesAerial insectivores

Eastern Phoebe in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 121% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+121%Since 1969
70Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Eastern Phoebe has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 121% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 12% by 2029 — from 4.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.4 (95% range 3.5–7.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±86.1%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+12%Change by 2029
5.4Projected 2029 index
3.5–7.495% range
±86.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.13.27.1
20265.23.37.1
20275.33.47.2
20285.43.47.3
20295.43.57.4

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in Oaks and Prairies.
NobleOKLAHOMA192024
Miller GroveTEXAS172024
Blue RidgeTEXAS172024
WeatherfordTEXAS132024
Gambill Ref.TEXAS122024
BeggsOKLAHOMA102023
HeyburnOKLAHOMA102024
Thornton 2TEXAS102010
DuranTEXAS101999
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA92024
ChoctawOKLAHOMA82023
Massey LakeTEXAS72024
Glen RoseTEXAS72023
CottonwoodTEXAS72024
OlneyTEXAS72024
Oak Grove 2TEXAS72024
DecaturTEXAS72024
DallasTEXAS62024
SeldenTEXAS62024
DikeTEXAS62024
BartlesvilleOKLAHOMA52024
DuncanOKLAHOMA52024
OlaTEXAS52024
HearneTEXAS52024
CayugaTEXAS52024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.