Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eastern Meadowlark In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie
Eastern Meadowlark in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-63%Since 1968
277Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Eastern Meadowlark has fallen sharply in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Meadowlark in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 23% by 2029 — from 17 in 2024 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 3.3–23). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-23%Change by 2029
13Projected 2029 index
3.3–2395% range
±7.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15 | 5.3 | 25 |
| 2026 | 15 | 4.8 | 25 |
| 2027 | 14 | 4.3 | 24 |
| 2028 | 14 | 3.8 | 24 |
| 2029 | 13 | 3.3 | 23 |
Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie
| Thrall | KANSAS | 141 | 1970 |
| Sni Mills | MISSOURI | 131 | 1990 |
| Madison | MISSOURI | 109 | 2024 |
| Welch | OKLAHOMA | 101 | 2024 |
| Foraker | OKLAHOMA | 96 | 2024 |
| Lincolnville | KANSAS | 92 | 2024 |
| Wainwright | OKLAHOMA | 80 | 2013 |
| Mcfall | MISSOURI | 71 | 2024 |
| Melrose | ILLINOIS | 69 | 1999 |
| Lucerne | MISSOURI | 69 | 2021 |
| Stet | MISSOURI | 62 | 1995 |
| Morehead | KANSAS | 59 | 2024 |
| Galesburg | KANSAS | 57 | 2024 |
| Trenton | MISSOURI | 57 | 2024 |
| Reece | KANSAS | 53 | 2024 |
| Trading Post | KANSAS | 53 | 2024 |
| Emden | MISSOURI | 50 | 2024 |
| Ellinor | KANSAS | 49 | 2024 |
| Wreford | KANSAS | 47 | 2024 |
| Le Loup | KANSAS | 46 | 2021 |
| Peoria | OKLAHOMA | 46 | 2023 |
| Hamilton | MISSOURI | 44 | 1985 |
| Ohio | MISSOURI | 43 | 2024 |
| Rensselaer | MISSOURI | 42 | 2024 |
| New Hampton | MISSOURI | 42 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.