BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Meadowlark In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieGrassland birds

Eastern Meadowlark in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has held roughly steady: up 3% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+3%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
113Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Meadowlark in Central Mixed Grass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Eastern Meadowlark In Central Mixed Grass Prairie Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Meadowlark in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to rise about 39% by 2030 — from 17 in 2025 to a central estimate of 23 (95% range 14–32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+39%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
23Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
14–3295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±30.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Meadowlark in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to rise about 39% by 2030 — from 17 in 2025 to a central estimate of 23 (95% range 14–32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026231432
2027231432
2028231432
2029231432
2030231432

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Eastern Meadowlark in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
KanopolisKANSAS1532025
CoopertonOKLAHOMA1432025
Ft Sill EastOKLAHOMA1371994
Ft Sill WestOKLAHOMA1281994
Wichita MtnsOKLAHOMA1251994
GrimesOKLAHOMA1242025
CashionOKLAHOMA1182024
ColonyOKLAHOMA1071995
WakitaOKLAHOMA992016
CookietownOKLAHOMA822006
VerdenOKLAHOMA792017
DouglasOKLAHOMA732022
SicklesOKLAHOMA622021
ColdwaterKANSAS602022
WoodwardOKLAHOMA592025
CharlieTEXAS592025
RandlettOKLAHOMA582025
JetOKLAHOMA572024
LookoutOKLAHOMA562025
HunterOKLAHOMA542024
ErickOKLAHOMA522024
WeinertTEXAS481994
AshlandKANSAS462021
PhrosoOKLAHOMA452025
CoatsKANSAS392025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.