BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Kingbird In Piedmont

All regionsPiedmontAerial insectivores

Eastern Kingbird in Piedmont has declined: down 42% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-42%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
169Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Kingbird in Piedmont. See the full index history below.

Eastern Kingbird In Piedmont Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Piedmont is projected to fall about 25% by 2029 — from 3.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 1.6–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-25%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.7Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.6–3.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±12.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Piedmont is projected to fall about 25% by 2029 — from 3.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 1.6–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.91.84.0
20262.91.84.0
20272.81.73.9
20282.81.73.9
20292.71.63.8

Routes In Piedmont

Routes recording Eastern Kingbird in Piedmont.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
IjamsvilleMARYLAND282024
MaxeysGEORGIA222024
Stoney PointGEORGIA212007
MadonnaMARYLAND192022
Little MtnSOUTH-CAROLINA161988
TaylorstownVIRGINIA152010
MetasvilleGEORGIA132000
OlneyMARYLAND132024
RutledgeGEORGIA112024
EmmitsburgMARYLAND112024
Doe RunPENNSYLVANIA112024
FairplayGEORGIA101991
Sharon 2GEORGIA102024
WarfieldsbrgMARYLAND102024
WheatonMARYLAND102024
LeolaPENNSYLVANIA92024
Salem XrdSOUTH-CAROLINA92019
Ft Pickett NVIRGINIA91995
Lincolnton 2GEORGIA82024
SharonGEORGIA82022
HebronGEORGIA82021
MooresvilleNORTH-CAROLINA82001
West GrovePENNSYLVANIA81996
LanettALABAMA72024
BowdonGEORGIA72024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.