BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Kingbird In Piedmont

All regionsPiedmontAerial insectivores

Eastern Kingbird in Piedmont has declined: down 41% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-41%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
169Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Kingbird in Piedmont. See the full index history below.

Eastern Kingbird In Piedmont Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Piedmont is projected to fall about 15% by 2030 — from 3.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 1.6–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-15%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.7Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.6–3.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±11.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Piedmont is projected to fall about 15% by 2030 — from 3.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 1.6–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.91.84.0
20272.81.73.9
20282.81.73.9
20292.71.63.8
20302.71.63.8

Routes In Piedmont

Routes recording Eastern Kingbird in Piedmont.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
EmmitsburgMARYLAND292025
OlneyMARYLAND252025
MaxeysGEORGIA222024
Stoney PointGEORGIA212007
IjamsvilleMARYLAND192025
MadonnaMARYLAND192022
Little MtnSOUTH-CAROLINA161988
RutledgeGEORGIA152025
TaylorstownVIRGINIA152010
MetasvilleGEORGIA132000
Taylorstown 2VIRGINIA112025
FairplayGEORGIA101991
CandlerGEORGIA102025
JordanNORTH-CAROLINA102025
Rock BranchGEORGIA92025
LeolaPENNSYLVANIA92024
Salem XrdSOUTH-CAROLINA92019
Ft Pickett NVIRGINIA91995
SharonGEORGIA82022
HebronGEORGIA82021
Sharon 2GEORGIA82025
MooresvilleNORTH-CAROLINA82001
Doe RunPENNSYLVANIA82025
West GrovePENNSYLVANIA81996
LanettALABAMA72024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.