BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Kingbird In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasAerial insectivores

Eastern Kingbird in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has fallen sharply: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-69%Since 1969
108Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Eastern Kingbird has fallen sharply in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.9 (95% range 0.00–3.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±46.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-1%Change by 2029
1.9Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.995% range
±46.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.30.294.3
20262.20.204.2
20272.10.124.1
20282.00.044.0
20291.90.003.9

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Eastern Kingbird in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
CartervilleLOUISIANA151992
SmyrnaTEXAS152010
BlakelyARKANSAS121999
PushmatahaOKLAHOMA122023
TroutLOUISIANA112024
ManyLOUISIANA111992
Old MiloARKANSAS92014
Easton 2TEXAS92024
Fort JessupLOUISIANA82023
SpringhillARKANSAS72022
EastonLOUISIANA71990
FillmoreLOUISIANA71989
FishvilleLOUISIANA62017
GoodwillLOUISIANA62024
GraysonLOUISIANA62017
AshdownARKANSAS52023
PoyenARKANSAS52007
OakdaleLOUISIANA51994
IvanLOUISIANA52013
Pine PrairieLOUISIANA51997
Union HillTEXAS52024
Fort PolkLOUISIANA41975
ClayLOUISIANA42024
LongstreetLOUISIANA42024
Mount UnionLOUISIANA42024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.