BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Kingbird In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

All regionsLower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence PlainAerial insectivores

Eastern Kingbird in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has declined: down 38% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-38%Since 1968
86Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Eastern Kingbird in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 3.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 0.59–4.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-30%Change by 2029
2.3Projected 2029 index
0.59–4.095% range
±13.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.50.794.2
20262.40.744.2
20272.40.694.1
20282.40.644.1
20292.30.594.0

Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

Routes recording Eastern Kingbird in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain.
E YoungstownNEW-YORK162023
NashvilleNEW-YORK132018
PulaskiNEW-YORK112024
HinesburgVERMONT101994
DuanesburgNEW-YORK82024
SheridanNEW-YORK82024
WatertownNEW-YORK82012
SalemNEW-YORK72024
PittsfieldOHIO72024
Sugar GrovePENNSYLVANIA72024
TrumansburgNEW-YORK62024
OrleansNEW-YORK62024
ChurchvilleNEW-YORK62024
ParishvilleNEW-YORK62024
West BangorNEW-YORK61999
MacdougallNEW-YORK52024
ByronNEW-YORK52023
NaplesNEW-YORK52024
PhiladelphiaNEW-YORK52024
RhinebeckNEW-YORK42024
HighlandNEW-YORK42022
AusterlitzNEW-YORK42024
Oriskany FlsNEW-YORK42024
ClintonNEW-YORK42013
FowlerNEW-YORK41968

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.