BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eared Grebe In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieWetland birds

Eared Grebe in Shortgrass Prairie has fallen sharply: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1978.

-71%Since 1978
15Routes In Region
20Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Eared Grebe has fallen sharply in Shortgrass Prairie: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1978.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eared Grebe in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.05 (95% range 0.00–0.22). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±478.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028
0.05Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.2295% range
±478.1%Backtest error
19762028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.060.000.23
20250.050.000.22
20260.050.000.22
20270.050.000.22
20280.050.000.22

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Eared Grebe in Shortgrass Prairie.
Wildhorse LCOLORADO302015
MaxwellNEW-MEXICO102007
WakaTEXAS61997
KiowaCOLORADO51999
GrenvilleNEW-MEXICO51978
PantexTEXAS41999
HaswellCOLORADO32022
AmherstCOLORADO22007
NunnCOLORADO22019
Cooley LakeNEW-MEXICO22023
FrionaTEXAS22001
JulesburgCOLORADO12011
PlymellKANSAS12021
Pine RidgeNEBRASKA12016
FloydadaTEXAS12016

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.