Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eared Grebe In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
Eared Grebe in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has surged: up 753% on the route-weighted index since 1980.
+753%Since 1980
26Routes In Region
38Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Eared Grebe has surged in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: up 753% on the route-weighted index since 1980.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Eared Grebe in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to rise about 144% by 2029 — from 0.27 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.66 (95% range 0.07–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±563.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+144%Change by 2029
0.66Projected 2029 index
0.07–1.395% range
±563.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.62 | 0.03 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 0.63 | 0.04 | 1.2 |
| 2027 | 0.64 | 0.05 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 0.65 | 0.06 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 0.66 | 0.07 | 1.3 |
Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
| Vernal | UTAH | 40 | 2018 |
| Alamosa | COLORADO | 24 | 2023 |
| Alton | UTAH | 22 | 1998 |
| Brookhurst | WYOMING | 20 | 2022 |
| Navajo Lake | UTAH | 17 | 2017 |
| M Warner Res | UTAH | 15 | 2024 |
| Dinosaur | COLORADO | 12 | 2024 |
| Rio Grnds Rs | COLORADO | 6 | 2024 |
| Mcphee Res. | COLORADO | 5 | 2019 |
| Guffey | COLORADO | 4 | 2017 |
| Stinking Lk. | NEW-MEXICO | 4 | 1996 |
| Main Canyon | UTAH | 4 | 2019 |
| Walden | COLORADO | 2 | 2016 |
| Willow Peak | COLORADO | 2 | 2009 |
| Tarryall | COLORADO | 2 | 2018 |
| Cortez | COLORADO | 2 | 1998 |
| Dulce | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 2024 |
| Dixie Nf | UTAH | 2 | 2019 |
| Ferron | UTAH | 2 | 2021 |
| Dolores | COLORADO | 1 | 1984 |
| Falfa | COLORADO | 1 | 1980 |
| Pagosa Spgs | COLORADO | 1 | 1975 |
| Doyleville | COLORADO | 1 | 1989 |
| Piedra | COLORADO | 1 | 2012 |
| Cortez 2 | COLORADO | 1 | 2016 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.