Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Dusky Flycatcher In Great Basin
Dusky Flycatcher in Great Basin has surged: up 102% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+102%Since 1970
120Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Dusky Flycatcher has surged in Great Basin: up 102% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Dusky Flycatcher in Great Basin is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.9 (95% range 1.8–4.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-6%Change by 2029
2.9Projected 2029 index
1.8–4.095% range
±14.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 3.9 |
| 2026 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 3.9 |
| 2027 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 3.9 |
| 2028 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 4.0 |
| 2029 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 4.0 |
Routes In Great Basin
| Paunina | OREGON | 48 | 2024 |
| Davis Lake | OREGON | 47 | 2024 |
| Bald Mtn. | OREGON | 44 | 2024 |
| Blewett Pass | WASHINGTON | 39 | 2024 |
| Hackamore | CALIFORNIA | 37 | 2010 |
| Paisley | OREGON | 27 | 2024 |
| E. Mt. Adams | WASHINGTON | 23 | 2024 |
| Barnes Val | OREGON | 19 | 1987 |
| Sisters | OREGON | 19 | 2024 |
| Picture Flat | OREGON | 18 | 2024 |
| Lakeview | OREGON | 18 | 2024 |
| Lake Chelan | WASHINGTON | 17 | 2024 |
| Bly | OREGON | 16 | 2001 |
| Macdoel | CALIFORNIA | 15 | 2019 |
| Fish Lake | OREGON | 15 | 2024 |
| Camp Sherman | OREGON | 14 | 1996 |
| Badger Creek | OREGON | 14 | 2024 |
| Ellensburg | WASHINGTON | 13 | 2024 |
| Humboldt Nf 2 | NEVADA | 11 | 2024 |
| Wizard Falls | OREGON | 11 | 2024 |
| Twisp | WASHINGTON | 11 | 2021 |
| Ardenvoir | WASHINGTON | 10 | 1987 |
| Triangle | IDAHO | 9 | 2021 |
| Bartle | CALIFORNIA | 7 | 2021 |
| Squirrel | IDAHO | 7 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.