Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Dickcissel In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
Dickcissel in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has fallen sharply: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-66%Since 1969
75Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Dickcissel has fallen sharply in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Dickcissel in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 107% by 2029 — from 1.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.0 (95% range 0.00–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±107.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+107%Change by 2029
4.0Projected 2029 index
0.00–1095% range
±107.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.4 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2026 | 4.3 | 0.00 | 10 |
| 2027 | 4.2 | 0.00 | 10 |
| 2028 | 4.1 | 0.00 | 10 |
| 2029 | 4.0 | 0.00 | 10 |
Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
| Matoy | OKLAHOMA | 140 | 2000 |
| Sandbluff | OKLAHOMA | 71 | 1995 |
| Phillips | OKLAHOMA | 59 | 2008 |
| Indianola | OKLAHOMA | 54 | 2024 |
| Pocola | OKLAHOMA | 50 | 2016 |
| Canadian | OKLAHOMA | 40 | 2017 |
| Ashdown | ARKANSAS | 29 | 2023 |
| Mer Rouge | LOUISIANA | 18 | 2008 |
| Natchitoches | LOUISIANA | 17 | 1991 |
| Mcalester | OKLAHOMA | 17 | 1991 |
| Blanco | OKLAHOMA | 14 | 2016 |
| Coal Hill | ARKANSAS | 13 | 2023 |
| Fillmore | LOUISIANA | 13 | 1989 |
| Goodwater | OKLAHOMA | 8 | 2021 |
| Pushmataha | OKLAHOMA | 8 | 2023 |
| Weches | TEXAS | 8 | 2024 |
| Derry | LOUISIANA | 6 | 1989 |
| Big Cedar | OKLAHOMA | 6 | 2024 |
| Athens | TEXAS | 6 | 2019 |
| Chandler | TEXAS | 6 | 2004 |
| Massard | ARKANSAS | 5 | 2022 |
| Havana | ARKANSAS | 5 | 2021 |
| Sims | ARKANSAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Lockesburg | ARKANSAS | 5 | 2019 |
| Poyen 2 | ARKANSAS | 5 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.