Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Dickcissel In Badlands and Prairies
Dickcissel in Badlands and Prairies has collapsed: down 77% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-77%Since 1969
81Routes In Region
55Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Dickcissel has collapsed in Badlands and Prairies: down 77% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Dickcissel in Badlands and Prairies is projected to fall about 41% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.89 (95% range 0.00–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±74.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-41%Change by 2029
0.89Projected 2029 index
0.00–1195% range
±74.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.2 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2026 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2027 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2028 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2029 | 0.89 | 0.00 | 11 |
Routes In Badlands and Prairies
| Chamberlain | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 89 | 2011 |
| Ft Thompson | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 81 | 2011 |
| Crookston | NEBRASKA | 49 | 2024 |
| Lacreek | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 49 | 2023 |
| Rosebud | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 32 | 2011 |
| Cedar Creek | NORTH-DAKOTA | 30 | 2022 |
| Promise | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 29 | 2015 |
| Owanka | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 26 | 2022 |
| White River | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 19 | 2014 |
| Volunteer | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 18 | 2019 |
| Hayes | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 18 | 2024 |
| Isabel | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 16 | 2013 |
| Hehn Draw | MONTANA | 15 | 2018 |
| Eagle Butte | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 14 | 2015 |
| Oglala Nat. Grass. | NEBRASKA | 12 | 2018 |
| Marcus | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 11 | 2015 |
| Ardmore | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 10 | 2019 |
| Winner | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 9 | 2024 |
| Ottumwa | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 9 | 2022 |
| Cedar Pass | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 9 | 2023 |
| Hampshire | WYOMING | 9 | 2018 |
| Webster | MONTANA | 7 | 2023 |
| Chuffey Spring | MONTANA | 7 | 2023 |
| Ft Yates | NORTH-DAKOTA | 7 | 2004 |
| Bowman | NORTH-DAKOTA | 7 | 2023 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.