BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Crested Caracara In Tamaulipan Brushlands

All regionsTamaulipan BrushlandsGeneralists

Crested Caracara in Tamaulipan Brushlands has surged: up 497% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+497%Since 1969
28Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Crested Caracara has surged in Tamaulipan Brushlands: up 497% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Crested Caracara in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to rise about 56% by 2029 — from 6.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.6 (95% range 6.3–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+56%Change by 2029
9.6Projected 2029 index
6.3–1395% range
±18.6%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20259.05.712
20269.25.912
20279.36.013
20289.56.213
20299.66.313

Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands

Routes recording Crested Caracara in Tamaulipan Brushlands.
La PryorTEXAS222010
Agua NuevaTEXAS172023
Millett 2TEXAS122024
Mirando CityTEXAS102024
RandadoTEXAS92024
Encinal 2TEXAS92024
GuerraTEXAS82023
Pedro CreekTEXAS82005
George WestTEXAS72024
Catarina 2TEXAS62017
ProgresoTEXAS62008
Cavasara Cr.TEXAS62023
SejitaTEXAS52024
LaredoTEXAS52023
HeidelbergTEXAS52024
RachalTEXAS42023
ZapataTEXAS41987
HondoTEXAS42024
El SauzTEXAS42023
DilleyTEXAS42024
MillettTEXAS42012
KingsvilleTEXAS32024
CatarinaTEXAS32010
RaymondvilleTEXAS32024
Catarina 3TEXAS32024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.