BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Crested Caracara In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Crested Caracara in Peninsular Florida has surged: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1987.

13×Since 1987
25Routes In Region
39Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Crested Caracara has surged in Peninsular Florida: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1987.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Crested Caracara in Peninsular Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.67 (95% range 0.42–0.93). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.8%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-2%Change by 2029
0.67Projected 2029 index
0.42–0.9395% range
±34.8%Backtest error
19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.610.360.87
20260.630.370.89
20270.640.390.90
20280.660.400.92
20290.670.420.93

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Crested Caracara in Peninsular Florida.
CrewsvilleFLORIDA72023
St LucieFLORIDA62024
Pennywash CrFLORIDA52024
ClewistonFLORIDA52023
Lake BuffumFLORIDA52024
PalmdaleFLORIDA42023
Myakka HeadFLORIDA32009
KenansvilleFLORIDA32024
Indiantown 2FLORIDA32018
Sandy 2FLORIDA32024
ChildsFLORIDA22021
Sunniland GrFLORIDA22021
GardnerFLORIDA21998
ArbuckleFLORIDA22019
Devils GardnFLORIDA22024
AlvaFLORIDA22023
Myakka Head 2FLORIDA22019
Wildernes PkFLORIDA22010
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA12024
IndiantownFLORIDA12015
SalvistaFLORIDA11978
KissimmeeFLORIDA12021
SandyFLORIDA12015
Holey LandFLORIDA12019
Ridge HarborFLORIDA12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.