BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Couch's Kingbird In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesAerial insectivores

Couch's Kingbird in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 940% on the route-weighted index since 1995.

+940%Since 1995
6Routes In Region
31Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Couch's Kingbird has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 940% on the route-weighted index since 1995.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Couch's Kingbird in Oaks and Prairies is projected to fall about 35% by 2029 — from 0.83 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.54 (95% range 0.27–0.81). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-35%Change by 2029
0.54Projected 2029 index
0.27–0.8195% range
±47.1%Backtest error
19932029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.480.210.75
20260.500.220.77
20270.510.240.78
20280.530.250.80
20290.540.270.81

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Couch's Kingbird in Oaks and Prairies.
Three RiversTEXAS212024
HobsonTEXAS122024
BriteTEXAS62024
Lone OakTEXAS52002
CampbelltonTEXAS32023
FanninTEXAS12010

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.