BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cooper's Hawk In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Cooper's Hawk in Peninsular Florida has edged down: down 17% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-17%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
39Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
38YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Cooper's Hawk in Peninsular Florida. See the full index history below.

Cooper's Hawk In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Peninsular Florida is projected to rise about 121% by 2029 — from 0.05 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.12 (95% range 0.02–0.22). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±163.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+121%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.12Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.02–0.2295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±163.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Peninsular Florida is projected to rise about 121% by 2029 — from 0.05 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.12 (95% range 0.02–0.22). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±163.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.110.010.21
20260.110.010.21
20270.120.010.21
20280.120.010.22
20290.120.020.22

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Cooper's Hawk in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
San AntonioFLORIDA22010
Polk CityFLORIDA22014
FlemingtonFLORIDA21995
Mabel 2FLORIDA22019
WebbFLORIDA22022
MicanopyFLORIDA11975
RomeoFLORIDA12024
Myakka HeadFLORIDA12010
St AugustineFLORIDA12014
BelmoreFLORIDA11994
MabelFLORIDA12010
ChildsFLORIDA12002
ScottsmoorFLORIDA12009
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA12010
Ft MccoyFLORIDA12013
NobletonFLORIDA11998
Pennywash CrFLORIDA12012
Winter GardnFLORIDA12019
KissimmeeFLORIDA12022
Pleasant GrFLORIDA12009
SandyFLORIDA11996
ArbuckleFLORIDA12014
PalmdaleFLORIDA11993
AripekaFLORIDA12016
AlvaFLORIDA12009

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.