BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cooper's Hawk In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainGeneralists

Cooper's Hawk in Southeastern Coastal Plain has surged: up 134% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+134%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
239Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Cooper's Hawk has surged in Southeastern Coastal Plain: up 134% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Cooper's Hawk In Southeastern Coastal Plain Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to rise about 21% by 2029 — from 0.13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.15 (95% range 0.10–0.21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+21%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.15Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.10–0.2195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±13.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to rise about 21% by 2029 — from 0.13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.15 (95% range 0.10–0.21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.140.090.20
20260.150.090.20
20270.150.090.20
20280.150.090.21
20290.150.100.21

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Cooper's Hawk in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
WhitevilleTENNESSEE42014
GreensboroALABAMA22003
CalebeeALABAMA22014
MadridALABAMA22014
VernonALABAMA22011
Dauphin Is 3ALABAMA22021
BelmontFLORIDA22016
CallahanFLORIDA22022
PinettaFLORIDA22019
New HopeFLORIDA22010
StocktonGEORGIA22024
WrightsvilleGEORGIA22001
NewtonGEORGIA22018
TazewellGEORGIA22022
DeepstepGEORGIA22023
FinleysonGEORGIA22018
WadleyGEORGIA22023
PittsGEORGIA22012
Big OakGEORGIA22011
EmbryMISSISSIPPI22017
Old TrapNORTH-CAROLINA22018
TrentonTENNESSEE22022
HumboldtTENNESSEE22022
St FlorianALABAMA12021
LibertyALABAMA12016

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.