BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Cooper's Hawk In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainBirds of prey

Cooper's Hawk in Southeastern Coastal Plain has surged: up 147% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+147%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
241Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Cooper's Hawk has surged in Southeastern Coastal Plain: up 147% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Cooper's Hawk In Southeastern Coastal Plain Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.16 (95% range 0.10–0.21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-7%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.16Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.10–0.2195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±11.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.16 (95% range 0.10–0.21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.150.090.20
20270.150.090.21
20280.150.100.21
20290.150.100.21
20300.160.100.21

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Cooper's Hawk in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
ApalachicolaFLORIDA42025
WhitevilleTENNESSEE42014
GreensboroALABAMA22003
MclellanALABAMA22025
HoltALABAMA22025
CalebeeALABAMA22014
MadridALABAMA22014
VernonALABAMA22011
Dauphin Is 3ALABAMA22021
BelmontFLORIDA22016
CallahanFLORIDA22022
PinettaFLORIDA22019
New HopeFLORIDA22010
StocktonGEORGIA22024
WrightsvilleGEORGIA22001
NewtonGEORGIA22018
TazewellGEORGIA22022
DeepstepGEORGIA22023
FinleysonGEORGIA22018
PittsGEORGIA22012
Big OakGEORGIA22011
BethanyGEORGIA22025
EmbryMISSISSIPPI22017
Old TrapNORTH-CAROLINA22018
MansfieldTENNESSEE22025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.