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Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cooper's Hawk In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasGeneralists

Cooper's Hawk in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has surged: up 109% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+109%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
62Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
46YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Cooper's Hawk has surged in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: up 109% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Cooper's Hawk In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 37% by 2029 — from 0.08 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.11 (95% range 0.03–0.19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+37%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.11Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.03–0.1995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±57.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 37% by 2029 — from 0.08 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.11 (95% range 0.03–0.19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.100.020.18
20260.100.020.18
20270.100.020.19
20280.110.020.19
20290.110.030.19

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Cooper's Hawk in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
AthensTEXAS32008
HavanaARKANSAS22019
LongstreetLOUISIANA22009
TroutLOUISIANA22008
Flat CreekLOUISIANA22014
PhillipsOKLAHOMA22006
GoodwaterOKLAHOMA22005
Mt. SelmanTEXAS22021
RamseyARKANSAS11967
Locust BayouARKANSAS11982
StampsARKANSAS12022
HopeARKANSAS11984
AshdownARKANSAS12011
PoyenARKANSAS12003
BlakelyARKANSAS11980
WaldronARKANSAS11997
StarkARKANSAS12023
Coal HillARKANSAS12023
MassardARKANSAS12021
LockesburgARKANSAS12019
StephensARKANSAS12013
NanceARKANSAS12017
Magazine MtnARKANSAS12012
Four LakesARKANSAS12001
De RidderLOUISIANA12015

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.