Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Poorwill In Tamaulipan Brushlands
Common Poorwill in Tamaulipan Brushlands has collapsed: down 89% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-89%Since 1969
17Routes In Region
49Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Common Poorwill has collapsed in Tamaulipan Brushlands: down 89% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Common Poorwill in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to fall about 100% by 2027 — from 0.10 in 2022 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.77). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±56.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2027
0.00Projected 2027 index
0.00–0.7795% range
±56.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.81 |
| 2024 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| 2025 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.78 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.77 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.77 |
Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands
| Randado | TEXAS | 4 | 1988 |
| Catarina 2 | TEXAS | 3 | 2017 |
| Sejita | TEXAS | 3 | 2013 |
| Agua Nueva | TEXAS | 2 | 1975 |
| Zapata | TEXAS | 2 | 1968 |
| George West | TEXAS | 2 | 1974 |
| Catarina | TEXAS | 2 | 2010 |
| El Sauz | TEXAS | 2 | 2013 |
| Encinal 2 | TEXAS | 2 | 2019 |
| Mirando City | TEXAS | 1 | 2009 |
| Encinal | TEXAS | 1 | 2010 |
| San Ygnacio | TEXAS | 1 | 1982 |
| Hondo | TEXAS | 1 | 2021 |
| Raymondville | TEXAS | 1 | 1989 |
| Progreso | TEXAS | 1 | 2008 |
| Laredo | TEXAS | 1 | 2002 |
| Millett 2 | TEXAS | 1 | 2022 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.