Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Pauraque In Tamaulipan Brushlands
Common Pauraque in Tamaulipan Brushlands has fallen sharply: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-74%Since 1969
21Routes In Region
50Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Common Pauraque has fallen sharply in Tamaulipan Brushlands: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Common Pauraque in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to rise about 191% by 2029 — from 0.17 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.49 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±164.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+191%Change by 2029
0.49Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.195% range
±164.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2027 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2028 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands
| Laredo | TEXAS | 5 | 2004 |
| Kingsville | TEXAS | 3 | 2012 |
| Randado | TEXAS | 3 | 2014 |
| Millett 2 | TEXAS | 3 | 2017 |
| Agua Nueva | TEXAS | 2 | 2018 |
| Mirando City | TEXAS | 2 | 2019 |
| Encinal | TEXAS | 2 | 2010 |
| San Ygnacio | TEXAS | 2 | 1972 |
| Catarina | TEXAS | 2 | 2009 |
| Raymondville | TEXAS | 2 | 1986 |
| Sejita | TEXAS | 2 | 2024 |
| Rachal | TEXAS | 1 | 1996 |
| Zapata | TEXAS | 1 | 1978 |
| George West | TEXAS | 1 | 2023 |
| Hondo | TEXAS | 1 | 2010 |
| El Sauz | TEXAS | 1 | 2012 |
| Catarina 2 | TEXAS | 1 | 2017 |
| Guerra | TEXAS | 1 | 2010 |
| Encinal 2 | TEXAS | 1 | 2018 |
| Millett | TEXAS | 1 | 2010 |
| Cavasara Cr. | TEXAS | 1 | 2010 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.