Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Nighthawk In Tamaulipan Brushlands
Common Nighthawk in Tamaulipan Brushlands has collapsed: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-82%Since 1969
28Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Common Nighthawk has collapsed in Tamaulipan Brushlands: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Common Nighthawk in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to fall about 91% by 2029 — from 5.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.49 (95% range 0.00–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-91%Change by 2029
0.49Projected 2029 index
0.00–1795% range
±45.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.2 | 0.00 | 19 |
| 2026 | 1.8 | 0.00 | 18 |
| 2027 | 1.4 | 0.00 | 18 |
| 2028 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 17 |
| 2029 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 17 |
Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands
| Raymondville | TEXAS | 36 | 2024 |
| Progreso | TEXAS | 29 | 2011 |
| Heidelberg | TEXAS | 16 | 2024 |
| Millett | TEXAS | 9 | 2012 |
| Kingsville | TEXAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Cavasara Cr. | TEXAS | 5 | 2010 |
| Rachal | TEXAS | 4 | 2021 |
| Catarina 3 | TEXAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Laredo | TEXAS | 4 | 1998 |
| La Pryor | TEXAS | 3 | 2017 |
| Catarina 2 | TEXAS | 3 | 2011 |
| Encinal 2 | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Encinal | TEXAS | 2 | 2010 |
| San Ygnacio | TEXAS | 2 | 1971 |
| Catarina | TEXAS | 2 | 2010 |
| Guerra | TEXAS | 2 | 2010 |
| Pedro Creek | TEXAS | 2 | 1996 |
| Millett 2 | TEXAS | 2 | 2016 |
| Agua Nueva | TEXAS | 1 | 2019 |
| Zapata | TEXAS | 1 | 1984 |
| Randado | TEXAS | 1 | 2019 |
| Mirando City | TEXAS | 1 | 2012 |
| George West | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
| Hondo | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
| El Indio | TEXAS | 1 | 2007 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.