Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Nighthawk In Peninsular Florida
Common Nighthawk in Peninsular Florida has fallen sharply: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-67%Since 1968
80Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Common Nighthawk has fallen sharply in Peninsular Florida: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Common Nighthawk in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 85% by 2029 — from 5.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.76 (95% range 0.00–5.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±59.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-85%Change by 2029
0.76Projected 2029 index
0.00–5.195% range
±59.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.8 | 0.00 | 6.1 |
| 2026 | 1.5 | 0.00 | 5.8 |
| 2027 | 1.3 | 0.00 | 5.6 |
| 2028 | 1.0 | 0.00 | 5.3 |
| 2029 | 0.76 | 0.00 | 5.1 |
Routes In Peninsular Florida
| Kendall | FLORIDA | 60 | 1991 |
| Citrus | FLORIDA | 38 | 2024 |
| Broward | FLORIDA | 34 | 1973 |
| Shawano 2 | FLORIDA | 34 | 2011 |
| Clewiston | FLORIDA | 25 | 2023 |
| Ocala | FLORIDA | 23 | 2024 |
| Alturas | FLORIDA | 19 | 1986 |
| Webb | FLORIDA | 16 | 2024 |
| St Lucie | FLORIDA | 14 | 2024 |
| Myakka Head | FLORIDA | 13 | 2011 |
| Shawano | FLORIDA | 13 | 2002 |
| Homestead | FLORIDA | 12 | 2024 |
| Pinelands | FLORIDA | 12 | 2024 |
| Lake Buffum | FLORIDA | 11 | 2024 |
| Goethe | FLORIDA | 11 | 2024 |
| Vero Beach | FLORIDA | 9 | 2012 |
| Boca Raton | FLORIDA | 8 | 1994 |
| Nobleton | FLORIDA | 8 | 2017 |
| Babcock Rnch | FLORIDA | 8 | 1990 |
| Chassahowitz | FLORIDA | 8 | 2024 |
| Flemington | FLORIDA | 7 | 1999 |
| Pinecrest | FLORIDA | 6 | 2024 |
| Salvista | FLORIDA | 6 | 1979 |
| Gardner | FLORIDA | 6 | 1999 |
| Ridge Harbor | FLORIDA | 6 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.