Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Nighthawk In Oaks and Prairies
Common Nighthawk in Oaks and Prairies has fallen sharply: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-68%Since 1969
73Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Common Nighthawk has fallen sharply in Oaks and Prairies: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Common Nighthawk in Oaks and Prairies is projected to fall about 55% by 2029 — from 1.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.85 (95% range 0.00–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-55%Change by 2029
0.85Projected 2029 index
0.00–5.895% range
±22.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.6 | 0.00 | 6.6 |
| 2026 | 1.4 | 0.00 | 6.4 |
| 2027 | 1.2 | 0.00 | 6.2 |
| 2028 | 1.0 | 0.00 | 6.0 |
| 2029 | 0.85 | 0.00 | 5.8 |
Routes In Oaks and Prairies
| E Georgetown | TEXAS | 35 | 1979 |
| Henrietta | TEXAS | 16 | 2022 |
| Creedmore | TEXAS | 16 | 2014 |
| Hobson | TEXAS | 12 | 2024 |
| Duran | TEXAS | 10 | 1999 |
| College Stn | TEXAS | 9 | 1990 |
| Walburg | TEXAS | 9 | 2024 |
| Lockhart | TEXAS | 8 | 2024 |
| Wolfe City | TEXAS | 8 | 1987 |
| Rhome | TEXAS | 8 | 2024 |
| Olney | TEXAS | 7 | 2024 |
| Loco | OKLAHOMA | 6 | 1985 |
| Duncan | OKLAHOMA | 6 | 2024 |
| Gainesville | TEXAS | 6 | 2024 |
| Mount Zion | TEXAS | 6 | 2022 |
| Mill Creek | OKLAHOMA | 5 | 2018 |
| Albany | TEXAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Osage | TEXAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Three Rivers | TEXAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Holdenville | OKLAHOMA | 3 | 2021 |
| Bartlesville | OKLAHOMA | 3 | 2024 |
| Schroeder | TEXAS | 3 | 1996 |
| Oak Grove | TEXAS | 3 | 1989 |
| Fannin | TEXAS | 3 | 2014 |
| Brite | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.