Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Nighthawk In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
Common Nighthawk in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has fallen sharply: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-53%Since 1970
210Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Common Nighthawk has fallen sharply in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: down 52% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Common Nighthawk in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to fall about 58% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.59 (95% range 0.00–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-58%Change by 2029
0.59Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.295% range
±29%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.83 | 0.00 | 2.4 |
| 2026 | 0.77 | 0.00 | 2.4 |
| 2027 | 0.71 | 0.00 | 2.3 |
| 2028 | 0.65 | 0.00 | 2.3 |
| 2029 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
| Claunch 2 | NEW-MEXICO | 50 | 2024 |
| Rose Wells | ARIZONA | 14 | 1978 |
| Toroweap | ARIZONA | 14 | 2019 |
| Zeniff | ARIZONA | 12 | 1984 |
| Mesita | COLORADO | 11 | 2024 |
| Cokedale | COLORADO | 10 | 2024 |
| Wellington | UTAH | 10 | 2002 |
| Pinos Creek | COLORADO | 9 | 1990 |
| Wilson Creek | COLORADO | 8 | 2024 |
| Basin | COLORADO | 8 | 2023 |
| Fletcher Pk | WYOMING | 8 | 2024 |
| Sawmill | ARIZONA | 7 | 2014 |
| La Cienega | NEW-MEXICO | 7 | 2022 |
| Salt Lake | NEW-MEXICO | 7 | 2001 |
| Willow Creek | UTAH | 7 | 2024 |
| Lost Cr. Res | UTAH | 7 | 2016 |
| Alamosa | COLORADO | 6 | 2024 |
| Buffalo Park | COLORADO | 6 | 2023 |
| Pinon | COLORADO | 6 | 2024 |
| La Sal | UTAH | 6 | 2000 |
| Sybille Cyn | WYOMING | 6 | 2024 |
| Aspen | COLORADO | 5 | 2010 |
| Radium | COLORADO | 5 | 2011 |
| Gardner | COLORADO | 5 | 2024 |
| Claunch | NEW-MEXICO | 5 | 2000 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.